Spatio-temporal variability of climatic variables and its impacts on rice yield in Bangladesh

Bangladesh is a significant contributor to the global food basket but is also one of the most vulnerable countries to climate change. Understanding regional climatic variability helps reduce climate risks and ensure food security. This research examined monthly, seasonal, and yearly temperature, rainfall, and relative humidity in Bangladesh using data from 35 meteorological stations from 1970–2020. The study utilized the Mann–Kendall method to evaluate trends and employed Sen’s slope to quantify their magnitude. Additionally, quantile regression was applied to analyze the impact of climatic variables on rice yield. The findings revealed that maximum (Tmax) and minimum (Tmin) temperatures were steadily increasing, with the southwest experiencing a more rapid rise compared to other regions in Bangladesh. Seasonal Tmax and Tmin rose in most parts of Bangladesh, particularly during the monsoon. In most areas, there was a significant (p